Difference between revisions of "Criteria for evaluating venture opportunities"

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(Replaced content with "Criteria for evaluating venture opportunities Category:mbi Category:M10 Category:Model")
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{| class="wikitable"
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Criteria for evaluating venture opportunities
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!Criteria
 
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!Attractiveness
 
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!
 
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|-
 
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!
 
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!Highest potential
 
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!Lowest potential
 
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|-
 
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|'''Industry and markets'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|
 
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|Changes way people live and work
 
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|Incremental improvement only
 
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|-
 
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|Market
 
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|Market driven: identified recurring revenue niche
 
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|Unfocussed: one time revenue
 
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|-
 
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|  Customers
 
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|Reachable; purchase orders
 
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|Loyal to others and unreachable
 
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|-
 
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|  User benefits
 
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|Less than one-year payback
 
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|Three year+ pay back
 
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|-
 
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|  Product life
 
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|Durable
 
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|Perishable
 
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|-
 
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|Markte structure
 
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|Imperfect, fragmented competition or emerging in industry
 
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|Highly concentrate or mature
 
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|-
 
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|Market size
 
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|\$100M to \$1B sales potential
 
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|Unknown, less than \$20M
 
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|-
 
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|Growth rate
 
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|Growth at 30-50% or more
 
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|Contracting or less than 10%
 
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|-
 
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|Market capacity
 
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|At or near full capacity
 
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|Under capacity
 
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|-
 
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|Market share attainable (<5 year)
 
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|20% or more; leader
 
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|Less than 5%
 
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|-
 
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|Cost structure
 
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|Low cost provider, cost advantages
 
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|Declining costs
 
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|-
 
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|'''Economics'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|Time to break even
 
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|Under 1,5-2 years
 
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|More than 4 years
 
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|-
 
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|ROI potential
 
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|25% or more
 
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| Less than 15-20%
 
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|-
 
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|Capital requirements
 
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|Low to moderate, fundable
 
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|Very high, unfundable
 
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|-
 
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|Internal rate of return potential
 
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|25% or more per year
 
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|Less than 15% per year
 
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|-
 
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|Free cash flow characteristics
 
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|Favorable, sustainable 20-30% or more of sales
 
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|Less than 10% of sales
 
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|-
 
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|Sales growth
 
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|Moderate to high (+15% to +20%)
 
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|Less than 10%
 
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|-
 
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|Asset intensity
 
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|Low/Sales \$
 
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|High
 
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|-
 
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|Spontaneous working capital
 
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|Low, incremental requirements
 
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|High requirements
 
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|-
 
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|R&D/captial requirements
 
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|Low
 
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|High
 
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|-
 
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|Gross margins
 
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|Exceeding 40% and durable
 
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|Under 20%
 
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|-
 
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|After tax profits
 
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|Great than 10%
 
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|Low
 
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|-
 
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|Time to break even
 
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|Less than two years
 
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|Greater than four years
 
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|-
 
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|'''Harvast issues'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|Value added potential
 
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|High strategic value
 
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|Low strategic value
 
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|-
 
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|Valuation multiples and comparable
 
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|20X PE/E
 
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|<=5XP/E
 
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|-
 
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|
 
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|8-10XEBIT
 
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|3-4XEBIT
 
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|-
 
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|
 
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|1.5 -2 X revenue
 
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|<= 0.4Xrevenue
 
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|-
 
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|
 
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|8-10Xfree cash flow
 
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|-
 
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|Exit mechanism and strategy
 
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|Present or envisioned options
 
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|Undefined; illiquid investments
 
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|-
 
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|Capital market context
 
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|Favorable valuations; timing, capital available, realizable liquidity
 
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|Unfavorable, credit crunch
 
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|-
 
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|'''Competative Advantage Issues'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|Fixed and variable costs
 
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|Lowest
 
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|Highest
 
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|-
 
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|Control over costs, prices and distribution
 
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|Moderate
 
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|Weak
 
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|-
 
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|Barriers to entry
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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| Propretary protection
 
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|Have or can gain
 
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|None
 
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|-
 
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| Response/lead time
 
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|Competition slow, napping
 
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|Unable to gain edge
 
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|-
 
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| Legal, contractual advantage
 
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|Proprietary or exclusivity
 
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|None
 
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|-
 
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| Contracts and networks
 
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|Well-developed; accessible
 
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|Crude
 
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|-
 
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| Key people
 
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|Top talent; an A team
 
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|B or C team
 
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|-
 
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|'''Management team'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|Entrepreneurial team
 
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|All-star combiation; free agents
 
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|Weak solo entrepreneur
 
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|-
 
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|Industry and technical experience
 
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|Top of the field; super track-record
 
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|Underdeveloped
 
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|-
 
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|Integrity
 
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|Highest standards
 
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|Questionable
 
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|-
 
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|Intellectual honesty
 
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|Know what they don't know
 
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|Do not want to know what they don't know
 
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|-
 
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|'''Personal criteria'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|Goals and fit
 
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|Getting what you want but wanting what you get
 
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|Suprises
 
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|-
 
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|Upside / downside issues
 
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|Attainable success / limitted risk
 
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|Linear, on the same continuum
 
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|-
 
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|Opportunity costs
 
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|Acceptable cuts in salary etc
 
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|Comfortable with status quo
 
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|-
 
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|Desirability
 
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|Fits with lifestyle
 
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|SImply pursuing big money
 
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|-
 
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|Stress tolerance
 
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|Thrives under pressure
 
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|Cracks under pressure
 
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|-
 
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|'''Strategic differentiation'''
 
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|
 
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|
 
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|-
 
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|Degree of fit
 
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|High
 
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|Low
 
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|-
 
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|Team
 
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|Best in class
 
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|B team
 
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|-
 
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|Service management
 
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|Supervisor service concept
 
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|Perceived as unimportant
 
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|-
 
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|Timing
 
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|Rowing with the tide
 
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|Rowing against the tide
 
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|-
 
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|Technology
 
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|Groundbreaking
 
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|Many substitutes
 
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|-
 
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|Flexibility
 
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|Able to adept
 
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|Slow stubborn
 
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|-
 
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|Opportunity orientation
 
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|Always searching
 
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|Operating in a vacuum
 
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|-
 
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|Pricing
 
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|At or near leader
 
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|Undercut competitor
 
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|-
 
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|Distribution channels
 
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|Accessible
 
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|Unknown
 
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|-
 
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|}
 
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Part of: [[M10-S1 - Reading - Opportunity Recognition- Jeff Timmons|M10-S1 - Reading - Opportunity Recognition- Jeff Timmons]]
 
 
[[Category:mbi]]
 
[[Category:mbi]]
  

Revision as of 19:18, 27 August 2020

Criteria for evaluating venture opportunities